Drier and hotter weather will move into New Mexico this weekend. Storm chances increase by the middle of next week, and with that a higher threat of burn scar flash flooding.
Drier air has moved in to end the week, continuing to give some relief from flash flooding in the Ruidoso area. Storms have still developed today though in the northern and western mountains, with an isolated storm even moving through Albuquerque. Some of these storms today have turned strong and even severe, dropping locally heavy rain, bringing gusty winds, and small hail. Showers and storms will continue to drift to the southwest through the rest of the evening, with most areas seeing drier weather by late this evening. A spotty shower may stick around through midnight in the San Juan Basin. Clear skies will return statewide by Saturday morning.
It will be nearly a carbon-copy day on Saturday, with isolated afternoon storms across northern and western New Mexico and in the Albuquerque Metro. Storms will again drift to the southwest and end late Saturday evening. On Sunday afternoon, storm chances will return to these same areas, but the Sacramento Mountains may also now see an isolated storm. Temperatures will also get much hotter this weekend. Highs will climb up to around 100° from Farmington to Albuquerque and across southern New Mexico.
Rain chances increase into the middle of next week as a plume of monsoon moisture moves back into the state. Chances for rain will move into nearly all of New Mexico starting Wednesday. Locally heavy rainfall may also be possible. This will also mean we’ll see an increased threat of burn scar flash flooding. Temperatures will also be slightly cooler.